USDA-ARS:  Harmel-2006

Title
Cumulative uncertainty in measured streamflow and water quality data for small watersheds
Author
Harmel, R.D., R.J. Cooper, R.M. Slade, R.L. Haney, and J.G. Arnold
Abstract/Summary Statement
Faced with the need for scientifically defensible estimates of data uncertainty to support water resource management, the objectives of this research were to: (1) compile published information on uncertainty related to measured streamflow and water quality data for small watersheds as contributed by four procedural categories (streamflow measurement, sample collection, sample preservation/storage, and laboratory analysis), (2) use a root mean square error propagation method to compare the uncertainty introduced by each procedural category, and (3) use the error propagation method to determine the cumulative probable uncertainty in measured streamflow, sediment, and nutrient data. Best case, typical, and worst case "data quality" scenarios were examined. Averaged across all constituents, the calculated cumulative probable uncertainty (+/-%) contributed under typical scenarios ranged from 6% to 19% for streamflow measurement, from 4% to 48% for sample collection, from 2% to 16% for sample preservation/storage, and from 5% to 21% for laboratory analysis. Under typical conditions, errors in storm loads ranged from 8% to 104% for dissolved nutrients, from 8% to 110% for total N and P, and from 7% to 53% for TSS.
Table of Contents
Citation
Harmel, R.D., R.J. Cooper, R.M. Slade, R.L. Haney, and J.G. Arnold. 2006b. Cumulative uncertainty in measured streamflow and water quality data for small watersheds. Trans. ASABE 49(3): 689-701.
Method Source
USDA-ARS
Source Organization Country
USA
Publication Year
2006
Special Notes
Item Type
Journal Article
Publication Source Type
Government Agency (Federal, USA)
Purpose
Data analysis
Monitoring program design
Design or Data Analysis Objectives
Compare locations
Compare treatments
Compliance with a threshold
Exploring/summarizing data
Complexity
Low
Media Emphasized
Surface Water
Media Subcategory
Special Topics
Characterizing the uncertainty of an estimated value